Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#42
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#25
Pace69.7#132
Improvement-3.7#316

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#158
Improvement-0.5#211

Defense
Total Defense+10.0#9
Improvement-3.2#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 40.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.0% n/a n/a
Second Round47.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 87-64 94%     1 - 0 +16.1 -2.5 +16.1
  Nov 13, 2013 289   @ SIU Edwardsville W 82-58 93%     2 - 0 +18.4 +1.9 +15.5
  Nov 16, 2013 159   @ Southern Illinois W 76-67 76%     3 - 0 +12.3 +8.1 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2013 202   Oral Roberts W 72-55 92%     4 - 0 +11.9 -4.6 +16.8
  Nov 23, 2013 201   Bowling Green W 74-47 92%     5 - 0 +22.0 +2.3 +18.4
  Nov 26, 2013 12   Wisconsin L 57-63 31%     5 - 1 +9.6 -8.7 +18.0
  Nov 27, 2013 183   Old Dominion W 62-52 86%     6 - 1 +8.8 -6.0 +15.2
  Dec 01, 2013 7   Wichita St. L 65-70 37%     6 - 2 +9.1 +0.6 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2013 160   @ Valparaiso W 67-65 76%     7 - 2 +5.2 -1.4 +6.7
  Dec 14, 2013 198   Wofford W 66-52 92%     8 - 2 +9.2 -2.5 +12.8
  Dec 18, 2013 115   Indiana St. W 83-66 82%     9 - 2 +17.9 +13.3 +4.9
  Dec 21, 2013 338   N.C. A&T W 79-57 99%     10 - 2 +5.4 -1.1 +6.3
  Dec 30, 2013 105   @ Vanderbilt W 57-49 64%     11 - 2 +14.8 -5.6 +21.0
  Jan 04, 2014 175   Yale W 75-55 90%     12 - 2 +16.6 +9.0 +9.3
  Jan 07, 2014 111   @ Rhode Island W 59-58 65%     13 - 2 1 - 0 +7.7 -3.5 +11.3
  Jan 11, 2014 60   @ Dayton W 67-59 46%     14 - 2 2 - 0 +19.5 -5.5 +24.6
  Jan 15, 2014 92   St. Bonaventure W 66-60 77%     15 - 2 3 - 0 +8.9 -8.4 +17.1
  Jan 18, 2014 203   Fordham W 70-48 92%     16 - 2 4 - 0 +16.8 -6.0 +23.7
  Jan 22, 2014 149   @ Duquesne W 76-72 73%     17 - 2 5 - 0 +8.2 +4.2 +4.0
  Jan 29, 2014 95   Richmond W 77-57 78%     18 - 2 6 - 0 +22.3 +3.5 +17.6
  Feb 01, 2014 137   George Mason W 87-81 OT 85%     19 - 2 7 - 0 +5.2 +7.6 -2.8
  Feb 05, 2014 57   @ Saint Joseph's W 65-49 45%     20 - 2 8 - 0 +27.9 +1.0 +27.6
  Feb 08, 2014 106   @ La Salle W 65-63 64%     21 - 2 9 - 0 +8.8 +2.8 +6.2
  Feb 15, 2014 22   Virginia Commonwealth W 64-62 48%     22 - 2 10 - 0 +13.2 -2.1 +15.2
  Feb 19, 2014 137   @ George Mason W 89-85 OT 71%     23 - 2 11 - 0 +8.8 +8.2 +0.1
  Feb 22, 2014 50   George Washington W 66-59 64%     24 - 2 12 - 0 +14.0 -1.8 +15.9
  Feb 27, 2014 149   Duquesne L 64-71 87%     24 - 3 12 - 1 -8.4 -11.2 +2.6
  Mar 01, 2014 22   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-67 28%     24 - 4 12 - 2 +5.7 +1.6 +3.0
  Mar 05, 2014 60   Dayton L 67-72 67%     24 - 5 12 - 3 +1.0 -3.6 +4.5
  Mar 09, 2014 52   @ Massachusetts W 64-62 44%     25 - 5 13 - 3 +14.2 -3.9 +18.0
  Mar 14, 2014 92   St. Bonaventure L 68-71 68%     25 - 6 +2.7 +2.8 -0.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 98.0% 98.0% 6.6 0.0 0.8 11.0 29.1 40.8 14.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 98.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 98.0% 0.0% 98.0% 6.6 0.0 0.8 11.0 29.1 40.8 14.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 98.0%